Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Real Betis @ Celta Vigo

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

Celta Vigo 0, Real Betis 0

Real Betis at Celta Vigo: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameReal Betis1 gameCelta Vigo1 game
Goals−1.33−1.62
Goals conceded−1.36−1.66
Expected goals−0.08−0.54
Expected goals conceded−0.08−0.29
Shots+2.0−2.5
Shots conceded+0.3−0.9
Points−0.27−0.10

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • Against a top-half team, Celta Vigo’s goals were 2.13 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.30 under expected.
  • At home, Celta Vigo’s yellow cards were 1.0 under expected in 5 games. A −1.9 difference in yellow cards over expected at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 5 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 0.1 over expected.
  • Real Betis had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • After a Champions League game, Real Betis’ goals conceded were 2.58 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.30 under expected.
  • Against a top-half team, Real Betis’ shots were 6.3 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.1 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 25, 2026at Celta VigoCelta Vigo 0, Real Betis 0
Mar 15, 2026at Real BetisCelta Vigo 1, Real Betis 1
Aug 27, 2025at Celta VigoCelta Vigo 1, Real Betis 1
Feb 8, 2025at Celta VigoCelta Vigo 3, Real Betis 2
Nov 10, 2024at Real BetisCelta Vigo 2, Real Betis 2
Apr 12, 2024at Real BetisReal Betis 2, Celta Vigo 1
Jan 3, 2024at Celta VigoCelta Vigo 2, Real Betis 1
Feb 4, 2023at Real BetisCelta Vigo 4, Real Betis 3
Oct 2, 2022at Celta VigoCelta Vigo 1, Real Betis 0
Mar 20, 2022at Celta VigoCelta Vigo 0, Real Betis 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.