Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Newcastle United @ Crystal Palace

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

Newcastle United 2, Crystal Palace 0

Newcastle United at Crystal Palace: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameNewcastle United1 gameCrystal Palace1 game
Goals+0.23−1.79
Goals conceded−1.44+0.64
Expected goals−0.90+0.76
Expected goals conceded+1.16−0.08
Shots−6.9+0.3
Shots conceded+5.7−2.0
Points+1.44−1.60

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Newcastle United

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • Against a bottom-half team, Crystal Palace’s expected goals were 1.02 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.83 over expected.
  • At home, Crystal Palace’s goals conceded were 0.86 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.07 over expected.
  • On the road, Newcastle United’s goals conceded were 1.16 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.95 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 25, 2026at Crystal PalaceNewcastle United 2, Crystal Palace 0
Apr 12, 2026at Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace 2, Newcastle United 1
Jan 4, 2026at Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United 2, Crystal Palace 0
Apr 16, 2025at Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United 5, Crystal Palace 0
Nov 30, 2024at Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace 1, Newcastle United 1
Apr 24, 2024at Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace 2, Newcastle United 0
Oct 21, 2023at Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United 4, Crystal Palace 0
Jan 21, 2023at Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace 0, Newcastle United 0
Sep 3, 2022at Newcastle UnitedCrystal Palace 0, Newcastle United 0
Apr 20, 2022at Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United 1, Crystal Palace 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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