Newcastle United
3–2–3 · Beat Crystal Palace 2–0, Oct 25
Next: at Fulham, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Newcastle United has beaten the odds in 1 of its last 4, 0.71 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.39 a game under, 84th of 110.
last 4
−0.71
before
−0.07
-202
Sep 19, 2026 vs Hull City −0.01
Oct 12, 2026 @ Coventry City −3.51
Oct 17, 2026 vs Aston Villa −1.35
Oct 25, 2026 @ Crystal Palace +2.01
Lately
- Won 4 of its last 10count
May 17, 2026 vs West Ham United +2
May 24, 2026 @ Fulham −2
Aug 23 vs Liverpool 0
Aug 29 @ Tottenham Hotspur +2
Sep 5 vs AFC Bournemouth 0
Sep 14 @ Leeds United −3- Sep 19 vs Hull City +1
- Oct 12 @ Coventry City −3
- Oct 17 vs Aston Villa −1
- Oct 25 @ Crystal Palace +2
- Lost 4 of its last 10count
- May 17, 2026 vs West Ham United +2
- May 24, 2026 @ Fulham −2
- Aug 23 vs Liverpool 0
- Aug 29 @ Tottenham Hotspur +2
- Sep 5 vs AFC Bournemouth 0
- Sep 14 @ Leeds United −3
- Sep 19 vs Hull City +1
- Oct 12 @ Coventry City −3
- Oct 17 vs Aston Villa −1
- Oct 25 @ Crystal Palace +2
- Won 4 of its last 10 at homecount
Mar 4, 2026 vs Manchester United +1
Mar 10, 2026 vs Barcelona 0
Mar 22, 2026 vs Sunderland −1- Apr 18, 2026 vs AFC Bournemouth −1
May 2, 2026 vs Brighton & Hove Albion +2- May 17, 2026 vs West Ham United +2
- Aug 23 vs Liverpool 0
- Sep 5 vs AFC Bournemouth 0
- Sep 19 vs Hull City +1
- Oct 17 vs Aston Villa −1
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.03 · 47th | +0.36 · 72nd |
| Expected goals | −0.38 · 83rd | +0.45 · 87th |
| Shots | −2.3 · 72nd | +4.2 · 91st |
| Points | −0.01 · 40th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.