Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Newcastle United @ Fulham

Sat, Nov 7 · Premier League · Craven Cottage

The odds have it Fulham 1.71, Newcastle United 1.30.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Newcastle United at Fulham: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameNewcastle United8 gamesFulham9 games
−0.03−0.64
+0.36−0.28
−0.38+0.26
+0.45−0.12
−2.30.0
+4.2+0.9
−0.01−0.48

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

The series

If you squint

  • At home, Fulham’s expected goals are 0.42 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • On the road, Newcastle United’s shots conceded are 2.8 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
May 24, 2026at FulhamFulham 2, Newcastle United 0
Oct 25, 2025at Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United 2, Fulham 1
Feb 1, 2025at Newcastle UnitedFulham 2, Newcastle United 1
Sep 21, 2024at FulhamFulham 3, Newcastle United 1
Apr 6, 2024at FulhamNewcastle United 1, Fulham 0
Dec 16, 2023at Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United 3, Fulham 0
Jan 15, 2023at Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United 1, Fulham 0
Oct 1, 2022at FulhamNewcastle United 4, Fulham 1
May 23, 2021at FulhamNewcastle United 2, Fulham 0
Dec 19, 2020at Newcastle UnitedFulham 1, Newcastle United 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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