Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Liverpool @ Crystal Palace

Sun, Nov 8 · Premier League · Selhurst Park

The odds have it Crystal Palace 1.09, Liverpool 2.13.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Liverpool at Crystal Palace: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameLiverpool12 gamesCrystal Palace9 games
+0.42−0.49
−0.31+0.89
+0.38−0.22
−0.30+0.85
+3.4−3.8
−2.3+4.8
+0.71−0.60

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Liverpool

The series

If you squint

  • Crystal Palace has lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →
  • Liverpool has won 7 of its last 10.countits form →
  • On the road, Liverpool’s points are 1.11 over expected in 5 games. A +1.28 difference in points over expected away vs at home is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were away and it comes up 7 times in 100.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Apr 25, 2026at LiverpoolLiverpool 3, Crystal Palace 1
Sep 27, 2025at Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace 2, Liverpool 1
May 25, 2025at LiverpoolCrystal Palace 1, Liverpool 1
Oct 5, 2024at Crystal PalaceLiverpool 1, Crystal Palace 0
Apr 14, 2024at LiverpoolCrystal Palace 1, Liverpool 0
Dec 9, 2023at Crystal PalaceLiverpool 2, Crystal Palace 1
Feb 25, 2023at Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace 0, Liverpool 0
Aug 15, 2022at LiverpoolCrystal Palace 1, Liverpool 1
Jan 23, 2022at Crystal PalaceLiverpool 3, Crystal Palace 1
Sep 18, 2021at LiverpoolLiverpool 3, Crystal Palace 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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