Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Lille @ AS Monaco

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

AS Monaco 1, Lille 1

Lille at AS Monaco: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameLille1 gameAS Monaco1 game
Goals−0.37−0.59
Goals conceded−0.59−0.32
Expected goals−0.63+0.63
Expected goals conceded+0.92−0.45
Shots−9.3+5.2
Shots conceded+7.1−7.5
Points−0.08−0.45

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

AS Monaco

Lille

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • At home, AS Monaco’s shots were 2.7 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.8 over expected.
  • Lille had won 8 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Against a top-half team, Lille’s shots conceded were 8.1 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.8 over expected.
  • After a Champions League game, Lille’s shots conceded were 6.7 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.8 over expected.
  • On the road, Lille’s expected goals conceded were 0.46 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.91 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 25, 2026at AS MonacoAS Monaco 1, Lille 1
May 10, 2026at AS MonacoLille 1, AS Monaco 0
Aug 24, 2025at LilleLille 1, AS Monaco 0
Feb 22, 2025at LilleLille 2, AS Monaco 1
Oct 18, 2024at AS MonacoAS Monaco 0, Lille 0
Apr 24, 2024at AS MonacoAS Monaco 1, Lille 0
Oct 29, 2023at LilleLille 2, AS Monaco 0
May 14, 2023at AS MonacoAS Monaco 0, Lille 0
Oct 23, 2022at LilleLille 4, AS Monaco 3
May 6, 2022at LilleAS Monaco 2, Lille 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

Read next