Lille
5–3–4 · Beat Lens 1–0, Oct 30
Next: at Stade Rennais, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Lille has beaten the odds in 2 of its last 4, 0.20 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.10 a game under, 63rd of 110.
last 4
−0.20
before
−0.05
-2-101
Oct 17, 2026 vs Brest −0.36
Oct 21, 2026 vs Galatasaray −2.05
Oct 25, 2026 @ AS Monaco +0.63
Oct 30, 2026 vs Lens +0.97
Lately
- Won 7 of its last 10 on the roadcount
Mar 15, 2026 @ Stade Rennais +1
Mar 22, 2026 @ Marseille +1
Apr 12, 2026 @ Toulouse +4
Apr 26, 2026 @ Paris FC +1- May 10, 2026 @ AS Monaco +1
Aug 23 @ Angers +2- Sep 3 @ Toulouse +1
Sep 20 @ Nice −1
Oct 13 @ Arsenal −3- Oct 25 @ AS Monaco 0
- Won 4 of its last 10count
- Sep 3 @ Toulouse +1
Sep 8 vs Real Betis −1
Sep 13 vs Troyes +2- Sep 20 @ Nice −1
Oct 10 vs Le Havre AC +1- Oct 13 @ Arsenal −3
- Oct 17 vs Brest 0
- Oct 21 vs Galatasaray −2
- Oct 25 @ AS Monaco 0
- Oct 30 vs Lens +1
- Lost 4 of its last 10count
- Sep 3 @ Toulouse +1
- Sep 8 vs Real Betis −1
- Sep 13 vs Troyes +2
- Sep 20 @ Nice −1
- Oct 10 vs Le Havre AC +1
- Oct 13 @ Arsenal −3
- Oct 17 vs Brest 0
- Oct 21 vs Galatasaray −2
- Oct 25 @ AS Monaco 0
- Oct 30 vs Lens +1
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.29 · 62nd | −0.19 · 36th |
| Expected goals | −0.26 · 71st | +0.04 · 58th |
| Shots | −2.7 · 76th | +0.6 · 54th |
| Points | +0.08 · 36th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.