Lille @ Stade Rennais

Sun, Nov 8 · Ligue 1 · Roazhon Park

The odds have it Stade Rennais 1.70, Lille 1.37.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Lille at Stade Rennais: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Lille12 games	Stade Rennais9 games
	−0.29	+0.64
	−0.19	+0.48
	−0.26	+0.11
	+0.04	+0.22
	−2.7	+2.4
	+0.6	+2.1
	+0.08	+0.43

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Stade Rennais

Stade Rennais has won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →

The series

Lille leads the series 19–8–19 since 2003-04.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

At home, Stade Rennais’ goal difference are 1.50 over expected in 5 games. A +3.29 difference in goal difference over expected at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 11 times in 100.thinthe split →
Lille has won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →
On the road, Lille’s expected goals conceded are 0.55 over expected in 5 games. A +0.90 difference in expected goals conceded over expected away vs at home is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were away and it comes up 7 times in 100.thinthe split →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Mar 15, 2026	at Stade Rennais	Lille 2, Stade Rennais 1
Jan 3, 2026	at Lille	Stade Rennais 2, Lille 0
Feb 16, 2025	at Stade Rennais	Lille 2, Stade Rennais 0
Nov 24, 2024	at Lille	Lille 1, Stade Rennais 0
Mar 10, 2024	at Lille	Stade Rennais 2, Lille 2
Sep 16, 2023	at Stade Rennais	Stade Rennais 2, Lille 2
Feb 4, 2023	at Stade Rennais	Lille 3, Stade Rennais 1
Nov 6, 2022	at Lille	Stade Rennais 1, Lille 1
May 21, 2022	at Lille	Stade Rennais 2, Lille 2
Dec 1, 2021	at Stade Rennais	Lille 2, Stade Rennais 1

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
A game with no box score sits out.