Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Frosinone @ Atalanta

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

Atalanta 4, Frosinone 4

Frosinone at Atalanta: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameFrosinone1 gameAtalanta1 game
Goals+2.47+2.49
Goals conceded+2.33+2.15
Expected goals+0.44+1.55
Expected goals conceded+2.02+0.44
Shots+7.6+4.8
Shots conceded+8.0+7.4
Points−0.38−0.22

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Atalanta

Frosinone

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • Against a top-half team, Atalanta’s shots conceded were 7.2 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.4 over expected.
  • At home, Atalanta’s yellow cards were 1.4 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.8 under expected.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Frosinone’s goals were 1.83 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.22 over expected.
  • On the road, Frosinone’s goals were 0.57 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.22 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 25, 2026at AtalantaAtalanta 4, Frosinone 4
Jan 15, 2024at AtalantaAtalanta 5, Frosinone 0
Aug 26, 2023at FrosinoneFrosinone 2, Atalanta 1
Jan 20, 2019at FrosinoneAtalanta 5, Frosinone 0
Aug 20, 2018at AtalantaAtalanta 4, Frosinone 0
Jan 23, 2016at FrosinoneAtalanta 0, Frosinone 0
Aug 30, 2015at AtalantaAtalanta 2, Frosinone 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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