Frosinone @ Cagliari

Sat, Nov 7 · Serie A · Unipol Domus

The odds have it Cagliari 1.55, Frosinone 1.66.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Frosinone at Cagliari: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Frosinone10 games	Cagliari10 games
	+0.78	−0.71
	−0.03	−0.16
	+0.27	−0.46
	+0.62	+0.24
	+4.5	−3.3
	+4.9	+3.6
	+0.46	−0.09

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Cagliari

Cagliari has lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →

Frosinone

Frosinone has won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →

The series

Cagliari leads the series 2–1–1 since 2018-19.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

At home, Cagliari’s expected goals are 0.44 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
On the road, Frosinone’s expected goals conceded are 0.46 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Jan 21, 2024	at Frosinone	Frosinone 3, Cagliari 1
Oct 29, 2023	at Cagliari	Cagliari 4, Frosinone 3
Apr 20, 2019	at Cagliari	Cagliari 1, Frosinone 0
Dec 2, 2018	at Frosinone	Cagliari 1, Frosinone 1

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
A game with no box score sits out.