Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Fiorentina @ Internazionale

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

Internazionale 2, Fiorentina 1

Fiorentina at Internazionale: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameFiorentina1 gameInternazionale1 game
Goals−0.49+0.09
Goals conceded−0.24−0.24
Expected goals−0.96+1.38
Expected goals conceded+0.54−1.17
Shots−5.1+19.6
Shots conceded+13.3−8.9
Points−1.00+1.14

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Internazionale

Fiorentina

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • Internazionale leads the series 26–9–10 since 2004-05. Internazionale has won 4 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Internazionale had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Internazionale had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • After a Champions League game, Internazionale’s goals were 1.42 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.44 under expected.
  • Against a top-half team, Fiorentina’s expected goals were 1.18 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.01 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 25, 2026at InternazionaleInternazionale 2, Fiorentina 1
Mar 22, 2026at FiorentinaInternazionale 1, Fiorentina 1
Oct 29, 2025at InternazionaleInternazionale 3, Fiorentina 0
Feb 10, 2025at InternazionaleInternazionale 2, Fiorentina 1
Feb 6, 2025at FiorentinaFiorentina 3, Internazionale 0
Jan 28, 2024at FiorentinaInternazionale 1, Fiorentina 0
Sep 3, 2023at InternazionaleInternazionale 4, Fiorentina 0
Apr 1, 2023at InternazionaleFiorentina 1, Internazionale 0
Oct 22, 2022at FiorentinaInternazionale 4, Fiorentina 3
Mar 19, 2022at InternazionaleInternazionale 1, Fiorentina 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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