Fiorentina
1–2–6 · Drew with Atalanta 2–2, Oct 29
Next: vs Juventus, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Fiorentina has beaten the odds in 1 of its last 4, 0.69 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 1.01 a game under, 104th of 110.
last 4
−0.69
before
−1.27
-20
Oct 10, 2026 @ Genoa −1.22
Oct 18, 2026 vs Como −1.73
Oct 25, 2026 @ Internazionale +0.42
Oct 29, 2026 vs Atalanta −0.21
Lately
- Lost 6 of its last 10count
- May 22, 2026 vs Atalanta 0
Aug 24 @ AS Roma −4
Aug 29 vs Frosinone −3
Sep 5 vs Torino −1
Sep 11 @ Venezia +2
Sep 20 vs Napoli 0- Oct 10 @ Genoa −1
- Oct 18 vs Como −2
- Oct 25 @ Internazionale −1
- Oct 29 vs Atalanta 0
- Won 4 of its last 10 on the roadcount
Mar 2, 2026 @ Udinese −3
Mar 16, 2026 @ Cremonese +3
Apr 4, 2026 @ Hellas Verona +1
Apr 20, 2026 @ Lecce 0- May 4, 2026 @ AS Roma −4
May 17, 2026 @ Juventus +2- Aug 24 @ AS Roma −4
- Sep 11 @ Venezia +2
- Oct 10 @ Genoa −1
- Oct 25 @ Internazionale −1
- Won 1 of its last 10count
- May 22, 2026 vs Atalanta 0
- Aug 24 @ AS Roma −4
- Aug 29 vs Frosinone −3
- Sep 5 vs Torino −1
- Sep 11 @ Venezia +2
- Sep 20 vs Napoli 0
- Oct 10 @ Genoa −1
- Oct 18 vs Como −2
- Oct 25 @ Internazionale −1
- Oct 29 vs Atalanta 0
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.35 · 65th | +0.66 · 86th |
| Expected goals | +0.05 · 35th | −0.03 · 48th |
| Shots | +1.6 · 25th | −1.1 · 36th |
| Points | −0.84 · 90th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.