Como @ Internazionale

Sun, Nov 8 · Serie A · San Siro

The odds have it Internazionale 2.02, Como 1.34.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Como at Internazionale: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Como13 games	Internazionale13 games
	+0.49	+0.80
	−0.52	−0.15
	+0.31	+1.14
	−0.27	−0.16
	+3.3	+7.7
	−1.4	−2.3
	+0.68	+0.72

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Como

Como has won 5 straight.streakthe runs →

The series

Internazionale leads the series 6–0 since 2002-03. Internazionale has won the last 6.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

Internazionale has won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →
At home, Internazionale’s goals are 0.86 over expected in 7 games. A +0.93 difference in goals over expected at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 12 times in 100.thinthe split →
Como has won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →
On the road, Como’s expected goals conceded are 0.34 over expected in 7 games. A +0.96 difference in expected goals conceded over expected away vs at home is unusual: shuffle which games were away and it comes up 4 times in 100.thinthe split →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Apr 12, 2026	at Como	Internazionale 4, Como 3
Dec 6, 2025	at Internazionale	Internazionale 4, Como 0
May 23, 2025	at Como	Internazionale 2, Como 0
Dec 23, 2024	at Internazionale	Internazionale 2, Como 0
Mar 16, 2003	at Internazionale	Internazionale 4, Como 0
Nov 3, 2002	at Como	Internazionale 2, Como 0

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
A game with no box score sits out.