Bayern Munich @ SC Freiburg

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

Bayern Munich 3, SC Freiburg 1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Bayern Munich’s points were 0.86 lower after a Champions League game than in other league games against expected over its last 75 games, 28th of 29 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 1.72 over expected.

Bayern Munich leads the series 30–1–6 since 2003-04. Bayern Munich has won the last 5.seriesevery meeting →

At home, SC Freiburg’s goals were 1.80 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.79 under expected.
After a Champions League game, Bayern Munich’s shots were 8.4 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.3 over expected.
On the road, Bayern Munich’s goal difference were 1.38 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.49 over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
A game with no box score sits out.