SC Freiburg
5–1–2 · Beat FC Augsburg 2–1, Oct 31
Next: vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Against the closing odds
SC Freiburg has beaten the odds in 2 of its last 4, by 0.11 goals a game. Over the season it’s 0.92 a game over, 7th of 110.
last 4
+0.11
before
+1.72
024
Oct 11, 2026 vs Schalke 04 +0.04
Oct 18, 2026 @ Bayer Leverkusen −0.02
Oct 25, 2026 vs Bayern Munich −0.59
Oct 31, 2026 @ FC Augsburg +1.00
Lately
- Won 6 of its last 10count
May 10, 2026 @ Hamburg SV −1
May 16, 2026 vs RB Leipzig +3
Aug 30 vs Werder Bremen +3
Sep 5 @ SC Paderborn 07 +1
Sep 12 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach +5
Sep 19 @ Eintracht Frankfurt 0- Oct 11 vs Schalke 04 +1
- Oct 18 @ Bayer Leverkusen −1
- Oct 25 vs Bayern Munich −2
- Oct 31 @ FC Augsburg +1
- Won 5 of its last 10 at homecount
- Mar 7, 2026 vs Bayer Leverkusen 0
Mar 15, 2026 vs 1. FC Union Berlin −1- Apr 4, 2026 vs Bayern Munich −1
Apr 19, 2026 vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 +1
May 3, 2026 vs VfL Wolfsburg 0- May 16, 2026 vs RB Leipzig +3
- Aug 30 vs Werder Bremen +3
- Sep 12 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach +5
- Oct 11 vs Schalke 04 +1
- Oct 25 vs Bayern Munich −2
- Won 4 of its last 10 on the roadcount
Feb 14, 2026 @ TSG Hoffenheim −3- Mar 1, 2026 @ Eintracht Frankfurt −2
Mar 22, 2026 @ St. Pauli +1
Apr 12, 2026 @ Mainz +1
Apr 26, 2026 @ Borussia Dortmund −4- May 10, 2026 @ Hamburg SV −1
- Sep 5 @ SC Paderborn 07 +1
- Sep 19 @ Eintracht Frankfurt 0
- Oct 18 @ Bayer Leverkusen −1
- Oct 31 @ FC Augsburg +1
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | +0.63 · 14th | −0.50 · 17th |
| Expected goals | +0.11 · 30th | −0.49 · 6th |
| Shots | +0.6 · 39th | −4.8 · 3rd |
| Points | +0.66 · 17th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.