Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

AFC Bournemouth @ Manchester United

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

AFC Bournemouth 3, Manchester United 0

AFC Bournemouth at Manchester United: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameAFC Bournemouth1 gameManchester United1 game
Goals+1.46−1.67
Goals conceded−1.58+1.68
Expected goals−0.04+0.44
Expected goals conceded+0.06−0.33
Shots−2.0+4.9
Shots conceded−0.3−3.7
Points+1.57−1.56

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

AFC Bournemouth

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • Manchester United had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Manchester United’s yellow cards were 2.1 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.3 over expected.
  • After a Champions League game, Manchester United’s shots conceded were 4.3 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.4 under expected.
  • At home, Manchester United’s goal difference were 1.43 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.12 under expected.
  • Against a bottom-half team, AFC Bournemouth’s shots were 16.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.4 under expected.
  • On the road, AFC Bournemouth’s goals conceded were 1.28 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.65 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 25, 2026at Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth 3, Manchester United 0
Mar 20, 2026at AFC BournemouthManchester United 2, AFC Bournemouth 2
Dec 15, 2025at Manchester UnitedManchester United 4, AFC Bournemouth 4
Apr 27, 2025at AFC BournemouthManchester United 1, AFC Bournemouth 1
Dec 22, 2024at Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth 3, Manchester United 0
Apr 13, 2024at AFC BournemouthManchester United 2, AFC Bournemouth 2
Dec 9, 2023at Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth 3, Manchester United 0
May 20, 2023at AFC BournemouthManchester United 1, AFC Bournemouth 0
Jan 3, 2023at Manchester UnitedManchester United 3, AFC Bournemouth 0
Jul 4, 2020at Manchester UnitedManchester United 5, AFC Bournemouth 2

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 24, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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