Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Aston Villa @ Manchester United

Sun, Nov 8 · Premier League · Old Trafford

The odds have it Manchester United 1.69, Aston Villa 1.41.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Aston Villa at Manchester United: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameAston Villa12 gamesManchester United12 games
+0.31−0.22
−0.34+0.19
−0.08+0.19
+0.09−0.23
−0.4+4.1
+1.1−2.9
+0.48−0.46

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

The series

  • Manchester United leads the series 30–4–8 since 2002-03. Manchester United has won 4 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • On the road, Aston Villa’s points are 0.79 over expected in 5 games. A +0.95 difference in points over expected away vs at home is unusual: shuffle which games were away and it comes up 4 times in 100.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Mar 15, 2026at Manchester UnitedManchester United 3, Aston Villa 1
Dec 21, 2025at Aston VillaAston Villa 2, Manchester United 1
May 25, 2025at Manchester UnitedManchester United 2, Aston Villa 0
Oct 6, 2024at Aston VillaManchester United 0, Aston Villa 0
Feb 11, 2024at Aston VillaManchester United 2, Aston Villa 1
Dec 26, 2023at Manchester UnitedManchester United 3, Aston Villa 2
Apr 30, 2023at Manchester UnitedManchester United 1, Aston Villa 0
Nov 6, 2022at Aston VillaAston Villa 3, Manchester United 1
Jan 15, 2022at Aston VillaManchester United 2, Aston Villa 2
Sep 25, 2021at Manchester UnitedAston Villa 1, Manchester United 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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