Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Tottenham Hotspur @ Chelsea

Sat, Oct 24, 2026

Tottenham Hotspur 2, Chelsea 0

Tottenham Hotspur at Chelsea: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameTottenham Hotspur1 gameChelsea1 game
Goals+0.47−1.55
Goals conceded−2.21+0.91
Expected goals−0.57−0.77
Expected goals conceded−0.87−0.62
Shots+2.7−6.9
Shots conceded−8.3−0.2
Points+1.98−1.56

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Tottenham Hotspur

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • Against a bottom-half team, Chelsea’s goals were 3.30 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.21 under expected.
  • At home, Chelsea’s goals were 1.99 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.21 under expected.
  • On the road, Tottenham Hotspur’s goals were 0.90 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.82 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 24, 2026at ChelseaTottenham Hotspur 2, Chelsea 0
May 19, 2026at ChelseaChelsea 2, Tottenham Hotspur 1
Nov 1, 2025at Tottenham HotspurChelsea 1, Tottenham Hotspur 0
Apr 3, 2025at ChelseaChelsea 1, Tottenham Hotspur 0
Dec 8, 2024at Tottenham HotspurChelsea 4, Tottenham Hotspur 3
May 2, 2024at ChelseaChelsea 2, Tottenham Hotspur 0
Nov 6, 2023at Tottenham HotspurChelsea 4, Tottenham Hotspur 1
Feb 26, 2023at Tottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur 2, Chelsea 0
Aug 14, 2022at ChelseaChelsea 2, Tottenham Hotspur 2
Jan 23, 2022at ChelseaChelsea 2, Tottenham Hotspur 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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