
Tottenham Hotspur
3–3–3 · Beat Crystal Palace 2–0, Oct 31
Next: at Leeds United, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Tottenham Hotspur has beaten the odds in all of its last 4, by 1.37 goals a game. Over the season it’s 0.17 a game under, 72nd of 110.
last 4
+1.37
before
−1.40
-202
Oct 10, 2026 @ Manchester United +0.86
Oct 19, 2026 vs Coventry City +0.91
Oct 24, 2026 @ Chelsea +2.63
Oct 31, 2026 vs Crystal Palace +1.06
Lately
- Won 4 of its last 10count
May 24, 2026 vs Everton +1
Aug 22 @ Brentford −3
Aug 29 vs Newcastle United −2
Sep 5 @ Nottingham Forest 0
Sep 12 vs Everton 0
Sep 19 vs Aston Villa −1
Oct 10 @ Manchester United 0
Oct 19 vs Coventry City +2
Oct 24 @ Chelsea +2
Oct 31 vs Crystal Palace +2
- Won 4 of its last 10 at homecount
Mar 18, 2026 vs Atlético Madrid +1
Mar 22, 2026 vs Nottingham Forest −3
Apr 18, 2026 vs Brighton & Hove Albion 0
May 11, 2026 vs Leeds United 0
May 24, 2026 vs Everton +1
Aug 29 vs Newcastle United −2
Sep 12 vs Everton 0
Sep 19 vs Aston Villa −1
Oct 19 vs Coventry City +2
Oct 31 vs Crystal Palace +2
- Lost 3 of its last 10count
May 24, 2026 vs Everton +1
Aug 22 @ Brentford −3
Aug 29 vs Newcastle United −2
Sep 5 @ Nottingham Forest 0
Sep 12 vs Everton 0
Sep 19 vs Aston Villa −1
Oct 10 @ Manchester United 0
Oct 19 vs Coventry City +2
Oct 24 @ Chelsea +2
Oct 31 vs Crystal Palace +2
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.50 · 73rd | −0.34 · 29th |
| Expected goals | −0.02 · 45th | −0.12 · 35th |
| Shots | +2.2 · 21st | −1.7 · 25th |
| Points | −0.14 · 48th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.