Chelsea
5–1–3 · Beat Manchester United 2–0, Oct 31
Next: at Sunderland, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Cole Palmer passed Júlio Baptista for the 3rd-fastest to 50 goals by a European club midfielder, in 128 appearances.
- Cole Palmerpassed Júlio Baptista for 3rd-fastest to 50 goals by a European club midfielderAug 24, 2026 · @
128appearances
Against the closing odds
Chelsea has beaten the odds in 3 of its last 4, by 1.06 goals a game. Over the season it’s 0.00 a game over, 53rd of 110.
last 4
+1.06
before
−0.85
-202
Oct 10, 2026 vs AFC Bournemouth +3.31
Oct 17, 2026 @ Everton +1.83
Oct 24, 2026 vs Tottenham Hotspur −2.63
Oct 31, 2026 vs Manchester United +1.74
Lately
- Won 5 of its last 10count
May 24, 2026 @ Sunderland −1- Aug 24 @ Fulham +1
Aug 30 vs Brighton & Hove Albion +1
Sep 6 @ Arsenal −1
Sep 12 vs Hull City 0
Sep 18 @ Brentford −3- Oct 10 vs AFC Bournemouth +4
- Oct 17 @ Everton +2
- Oct 24 vs Tottenham Hotspur −2
- Oct 31 vs Manchester United +2
- Lost 4 of its last 10count
- May 24, 2026 @ Sunderland −1
- Aug 24 @ Fulham +1
- Aug 30 vs Brighton & Hove Albion +1
- Sep 6 @ Arsenal −1
- Sep 12 vs Hull City 0
- Sep 18 @ Brentford −3
- Oct 10 vs AFC Bournemouth +4
- Oct 17 @ Everton +2
- Oct 24 vs Tottenham Hotspur −2
- Oct 31 vs Manchester United +2
- Won 4 of its last 10 at homecount
Mar 17, 2026 vs Paris Saint-Germain −3
Apr 12, 2026 vs Manchester City −3- Apr 18, 2026 vs Manchester United −1
May 4, 2026 vs Nottingham Forest −2- May 19, 2026 vs Tottenham Hotspur +1
- Aug 30 vs Brighton & Hove Albion +1
- Sep 12 vs Hull City 0
- Oct 10 vs AFC Bournemouth +4
- Oct 24 vs Tottenham Hotspur −2
- Oct 31 vs Manchester United +2
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | +0.70 · 12th | +0.18 · 62nd |
| Expected goals | +0.02 · 40th | −0.08 · 42nd |
| Shots | +0.6 · 37th | −2.0 · 22nd |
| Points | +0.51 · 20th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.