Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Chelsea @ Sunderland

Sun, Nov 8 · Premier League · Stadium of Light

The odds have it Sunderland 1.15, Chelsea 1.61.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Chelsea at Sunderland: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameChelsea9 gamesSunderland9 games
+0.70−0.70
+0.18+0.27
+0.02−0.06
−0.08−0.07
+0.6−1.0
−2.00.0
+0.51−0.75

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

The series

  • Chelsea leads the series 20–5–1 since 2002-03. Sunderland has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, Sunderland’s goals are 0.93 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • On the road, Chelsea’s yellow cards are 0.8 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
May 24, 2026at SunderlandSunderland 2, Chelsea 1
Oct 25, 2025at ChelseaSunderland 2, Chelsea 1
May 21, 2017at ChelseaChelsea 5, Sunderland 1
Dec 14, 2016at SunderlandChelsea 1, Sunderland 0
May 7, 2016at SunderlandSunderland 3, Chelsea 2
Dec 19, 2015at ChelseaChelsea 3, Sunderland 1
May 24, 2015at ChelseaChelsea 3, Sunderland 1
Nov 29, 2014at SunderlandSunderland 0, Chelsea 0
Apr 19, 2014at ChelseaSunderland 2, Chelsea 1
Dec 4, 2013at SunderlandChelsea 4, Sunderland 3

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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