Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Parma @ Lazio

Sat, Oct 24, 2026

Lazio 2, Parma 1

Parma at Lazio: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameParma1 gameLazio1 game
Goals−0.26+0.33
Goals conceded−0.25+0.22
Expected goals−0.51−0.02
Expected goals conceded+0.25−0.20
Shots−2.0+4.3
Shots conceded+6.9−0.7
Points−0.66+1.14

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Lazio

Parma

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Lazio

  • Lazio had won 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

If you squint

  • Lazio had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Lazio’s yellow cards were 1.2 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.9 under expected.
  • Parma had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Against a top-half team, Parma’s yellow cards were 1.9 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.1 under expected.
  • On the road, Parma’s yellow cards were 0.9 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.1 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 24, 2026at LazioLazio 2, Parma 1
Apr 4, 2026at LazioLazio 1, Parma 1
Dec 13, 2025at ParmaLazio 1, Parma 0
Apr 28, 2025at LazioLazio 2, Parma 2
Dec 1, 2024at ParmaParma 3, Lazio 1
May 12, 2021at LazioLazio 1, Parma 0
Jan 10, 2021at ParmaLazio 2, Parma 0
Feb 9, 2020at ParmaLazio 1, Parma 0
Sep 22, 2019at LazioLazio 2, Parma 0
Mar 17, 2019at LazioLazio 4, Parma 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.