Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Hamburg SV @ SC Paderborn 07

Sat, Oct 24, 2026

SC Paderborn 07 1, Hamburg SV 0

Hamburg SV at SC Paderborn 07: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameHamburg SV1 gameSC Paderborn 071 game
Goals−1.42−0.97
Goals conceded−0.18−1.09
Expected goals−1.06−0.14
Expected goals conceded+0.41−0.66
Shots−7.5−1.4
Shots conceded+1.5−3.3
Points−1.43+1.33

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

SC Paderborn 07

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • SC Paderborn 07 had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • At home, SC Paderborn 07’s shots were 3.7 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.9 under expected.
  • On the road, Hamburg SV’s yellow cards were 0.9 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.3 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 24, 2026at SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07 1, Hamburg SV 0
Feb 4, 2015at SC Paderborn 07Hamburg SV 3, SC Paderborn 07 0
Aug 30, 2014at Hamburg SVSC Paderborn 07 3, Hamburg SV 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

Read next