
SC Paderborn 07
2–3–3 · Drew with Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0, Oct 31
Next: vs Eintracht Frankfurt, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Against the closing odds
SC Paderborn 07 has beaten the odds in 3 of its last 4, by 0.75 goals a game. Over the season it’s 0.35 a game over, 27th of 110.
last 4
+0.75
before
−0.18
02
Sep 20, 2026 vs TSG Hoffenheim +2.76
Oct 10, 2026 vs VfB Stuttgart −1.00
Oct 17, 2026 @ Werder Bremen +0.85
Oct 31, 2026 @ Borussia Mönchengladbach +0.38
Lately
- Lost 5 of its last 10count
Jun 20, 2020 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach −2
Jun 27, 2020 @ Eintracht Frankfurt −1
Aug 29 @ Mainz 0
Sep 5 vs SC Freiburg −1
Sep 12 @ Borussia Dortmund −3
Sep 20 vs TSG Hoffenheim +2
Oct 10 vs VfB Stuttgart −2
Oct 17 @ Werder Bremen 0
Oct 24 vs Hamburg SV +1
Oct 31 @ Borussia Mönchengladbach 0
- Won 2 of its last 10count
Jun 20, 2020 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach −2
Jun 27, 2020 @ Eintracht Frankfurt −1
Aug 29 @ Mainz 0
Sep 5 vs SC Freiburg −1
Sep 12 @ Borussia Dortmund −3
Sep 20 vs TSG Hoffenheim +2
Oct 10 vs VfB Stuttgart −2
Oct 17 @ Werder Bremen 0
Oct 24 vs Hamburg SV +1
Oct 31 @ Borussia Mönchengladbach 0
- Won 2 of its last 10 at homecount
Feb 15, 2020 vs Hertha Berlin −1
Mar 6, 2020 vs FC Cologne −1
May 23, 2020 vs TSG Hoffenheim 0
May 31, 2020 vs Borussia Dortmund −5
Jun 13, 2020 vs Werder Bremen −4
Jun 20, 2020 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach −2
Sep 5 vs SC Freiburg −1
Sep 20 vs TSG Hoffenheim +2
Oct 10 vs VfB Stuttgart −2
Oct 24 vs Hamburg SV +1
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.96 · 93rd | −0.64 · 10th |
| Expected goals | −0.37 · 80th | −0.09 · 38th |
| Shots | −0.7 · 54th | +1.5 · 66th |
| Points | −0.30 · 61st |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.