Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Eintracht Frankfurt @ SC Paderborn 07

Sat, Nov 7 · Bundesliga · Home Deluxe Arena

The odds have it SC Paderborn 07 1.56, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.88.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Eintracht Frankfurt at SC Paderborn 07: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameEintracht Frankfurt8 gamesSC Paderborn 078 games
−0.02−0.96
+0.64−0.64
+0.03−0.37
+0.45−0.09
−0.6−0.7
+2.4+1.5
0.00−0.30

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

The series

If you squint

  • At home, SC Paderborn 07’s shots are 2.6 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • On the road, Eintracht Frankfurt’s expected goals conceded are 0.52 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Jun 27, 2020at Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt 3, SC Paderborn 07 2
Dec 22, 2019at SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07 2, Eintracht Frankfurt 1
Mar 14, 2015at Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt 4, SC Paderborn 07 0
Oct 19, 2014at SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07 3, Eintracht Frankfurt 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • A game with no box score sits out.