Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Bologna @ Cagliari

Sat, Oct 24, 2026

Bologna 2, Cagliari 0

Bologna at Cagliari: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBologna1 gameCagliari1 game
Goals+0.53−1.61
Goals conceded−1.36+0.70
Expected goals−0.95−0.90
Expected goals conceded−0.79−0.73
Shots−6.2−9.6
Shots conceded−8.9−1.7
Points+1.70−1.59

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Bologna

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • Bologna leads the series 14–11–8 since 2004-05. Bologna has won 3 straight at Cagliari.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Against a bottom-half team, Cagliari’s goal difference were 4.47 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.12 under expected.
  • At home, Cagliari’s goals conceded were 0.82 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.83 over expected.
  • Bologna had won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Against a top-half team, Bologna’s expected goals conceded were 1.21 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.60 under expected.
  • On the road, Bologna’s yellow cards were 0.9 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.9 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 24, 2026at CagliariBologna 2, Cagliari 0
May 3, 2026at BolognaCagliari 0, Bologna 0
Oct 19, 2025at CagliariBologna 2, Cagliari 0
Mar 2, 2025at BolognaBologna 2, Cagliari 1
Oct 29, 2024at CagliariBologna 2, Cagliari 0
Jan 14, 2024at CagliariCagliari 2, Bologna 1
Sep 2, 2023at BolognaBologna 2, Cagliari 1
Jan 11, 2022at CagliariCagliari 2, Bologna 1
Nov 1, 2021at BolognaBologna 2, Cagliari 0
Mar 3, 2021at CagliariCagliari 1, Bologna 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.