Monza @ Torino

Fri, Oct 23, 2026

Torino 3, Monza 2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Torino’s expected goals conceded were 0.30 higher at home than away against expected over its last 75 games, 3rd of 123 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 0.99 under expected.

Torino leads the series 4–0–3 since 2022-23. Torino has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

At home, Torino’s yellow cards were 1.6 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.6 under expected.
On the road, Monza’s expected goal difference were 1.08 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.92 under expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 22, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
A game with no box score sits out.