Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Viking FK @ Aston Villa

Wed, Oct 21, 2026

Aston Villa 3, Viking FK 1

Viking FK at Aston Villa: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameViking FK1 gameAston Villa1 game
Goals−0.45+0.89
Goals conceded+1.19−0.71
Expected goals−0.73−0.26
Expected goals conceded+0.57−0.14
Shots−4.2+2.1
Shots conceded+6.6+0.7
Points−1.13+1.20

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Aston Villa

Viking FK

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • In the Champions League, Aston Villa’s goals were 2.74 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.68 over expected.
  • At home, Aston Villa’s points were 0.74 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.11 over expected.
  • On the road, Viking FK’s goal difference were 2.67 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.73 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 21, 2026at Aston VillaAston Villa 3, Viking FK 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 20, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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