Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Torino @ Parma

Mon, Oct 19, 2026

Torino 3, Parma 0

Torino at Parma: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameTorino1 gameParma1 game
Goals+1.51−1.72
Goals conceded−1.13+1.77
Expected goals−0.26+0.74
Expected goals conceded+1.23+0.16
Shots−7.3+9.6
Shots conceded+14.1−2.1
Points+1.38−1.70

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Torino

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Torino

  • Torino’s expected goals conceded were 0.32 higher at home than away against expected over its last 75 games, 3rd of 123 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 1.23 over expected.

The series

  • Parma leads the series 10–6–7 since 2002-03. Torino has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Parma had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, Parma’s shots were 5.9 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 13.3 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 19, 2026at ParmaTorino 3, Parma 0
Mar 13, 2026at TorinoTorino 4, Parma 1
Sep 29, 2025at ParmaParma 2, Torino 1
Mar 8, 2025at ParmaParma 2, Torino 2
Jan 5, 2025at TorinoParma 0, Torino 0
May 3, 2021at TorinoTorino 1, Parma 0
Jan 3, 2021at ParmaTorino 3, Parma 0
Jun 20, 2020at TorinoParma 1, Torino 1
Sep 30, 2019at ParmaParma 3, Torino 2
Apr 6, 2019at ParmaParma 0, Torino 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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