Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Cagliari @ Monza

Mon, Oct 19, 2026

Monza 4, Cagliari 0

Cagliari at Monza: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameCagliari1 gameMonza1 game
Goals−1.86+2.46
Goals conceded+2.37−1.09
Expected goals+0.96−0.24
Expected goals conceded+0.05+1.38
Shots+3.1−3.3
Shots conceded+0.4+5.6
Points−1.78+1.46

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Monza

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Cagliari

  • Cagliari had won 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Ended here.

The series

If you squint

  • Monza had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • At home, Monza’s expected goal difference were 0.73 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.58 under expected.
  • On the road, Cagliari’s points were 1.66 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.80 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 19, 2026at MonzaMonza 4, Cagliari 0
Mar 30, 2025at CagliariCagliari 3, Monza 0
Jan 5, 2025at MonzaCagliari 2, Monza 1
Mar 16, 2024at MonzaMonza 1, Cagliari 0
Nov 26, 2023at CagliariMonza 1, Cagliari 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

Read next