Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Sunderland @ AFC Bournemouth

Sun, Oct 18, 2026

AFC Bournemouth 2, Sunderland 0

Sunderland at AFC Bournemouth: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSunderland1 gameAFC Bournemouth1 game
Goals−1.53+0.25
Goals conceded+0.33−1.01
Expected goals−1.11+1.61
Expected goals conceded+1.46−1.23
Shots−8.8+15.5
Shots conceded+15.4−10.1
Points−1.32+1.14

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

AFC Bournemouth

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • At home, AFC Bournemouth’s expected goals were 0.39 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.64 over expected.
  • On the road, Sunderland’s expected goals were 0.69 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.16 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 18, 2026at AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth 2, Sunderland 0
Feb 28, 2026at AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth 1, Sunderland 1
Nov 29, 2025at SunderlandSunderland 3, AFC Bournemouth 2
Apr 29, 2017at SunderlandAFC Bournemouth 1, Sunderland 0
Nov 5, 2016at AFC BournemouthSunderland 2, AFC Bournemouth 1
Jan 23, 2016at SunderlandAFC Bournemouth 1, Sunderland 1
Sep 19, 2015at AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth 2, Sunderland 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 17, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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