Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Como @ Fiorentina

Sun, Oct 18, 2026

Como 3, Fiorentina 1

Como at Fiorentina: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameComo1 gameFiorentina1 game
Goals+1.27−0.47
Goals conceded−0.51+1.24
Expected goals+0.28+1.08
Expected goals conceded+0.84+0.06
Shots+2.6+5.3
Shots conceded+2.6−0.4
Points+1.38−1.16

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Fiorentina

Como

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • Como leads the series 3–2 since 2024-25. Como has won 3 straight at Fiorentina.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, Fiorentina’s goals were 0.94 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.28 under expected.
  • After a Champions League game, Como’s expected goals were 1.65 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.13 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 18, 2026at FiorentinaComo 3, Fiorentina 1
Feb 14, 2026at ComoFiorentina 2, Como 1
Sep 21, 2025at FiorentinaComo 2, Fiorentina 1
Feb 16, 2025at FiorentinaComo 2, Fiorentina 0
Nov 24, 2024at ComoFiorentina 2, Como 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 17, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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