Putting Up Numbers· college football

San Diego State without Lucky Sutton

without ,

San Diego State is 1–2 without Lucky Sutton this season and 3–3 with him. Since 2025, San Diego State is 1–2 in the 3 games he missed and 12–7 with him.

Missed games (high ankle sprain), per si.com.

Lucky Sutton’s page

, a game

This season

MeasureWith Lucky Sutton6 gamesWithout3 gamesDifference
Record3–31–2
Points, over expected+1.6−5.4+7.0
Rushing yards, over expected−0.6−6.2+5.6
Against the line−4.6−13.8+9.3
Points allowed, over expected+1.7+6.5−4.8
Margin, over expected+1.5−10.1+11.6
Carries, over expected+1.3−3.0+4.3
Yards a carry4.533.84+0.70
Passing yards, over expected+12.0−78.1+90.1
Pass attempts, over expected−0.1−3.5+3.4
Total yards, over expected+16.7−80.9+97.6
Third-down conversion rate, over expected+2.2%−15.5%+17.7
Penalty yards, over expected−20.1+0.6−20.7

3 games without him is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

Last 25 games

MeasureWith Lucky Sutton20 gamesWithout5 gamesDifference
Record12–81–4
Points, over expected−0.3−1.6+1.4
Rushing yards, over expected+7.5+2.9+4.6
Against the line+1.9−9.2+11.1
Points allowed, over expected−0.6+6.9−7.5
Margin, over expected+0.3−6.8+7.1
Carries, over expected+1.1−1.2+2.3
Yards a carry4.713.60+1.11
Passing yards, over expected−11.9−45.4+33.5
Pass attempts, over expected−1.4−3.4+2.0
Total yards, over expected+1.7−38.3+40.0
Third-down conversion rate, over expected−2.3%−6.6%+4.3
Penalty yards, over expected−2.4+4.2−6.6

Who played instead

His teammates without him

This season

MeasureWith Lucky SuttonWithoutDifference
Jayden Denegal, QB
Passing yards125.0132.0−7.0
Pass attempts18.825.0−6.3
Javion Kinnard, RB
Rushing yards64.8112.0−47.2
Carries10.722.0−11.3
Bert Emanuel Jr., QB
Passing yards1.80.0+1.8
Pass attempts0.40.0+0.4
Nathan Acevedo, WR
Receiving yards22.256.5−34.3
Receptions2.25.0−2.8
Jordan Napier, WR
Receiving yards28.220.0+8.2
Receptions2.23.0−0.8

Last 25 games

MeasureWith Lucky SuttonWithoutDifference
Mekhi Shaw, WR
Receiving yards59.020.1+38.9
Receptions3.52.0+1.5
Cam Davis, RB
Rushing yards18.812.6+6.3
Carries4.63.1+1.5
Jordan Napier, WR
Receiving yards48.342.8+5.5
Receptions3.94.4−0.5
Kenan Christon II, RB
Rushing yards41.522.5+19.0
Carries7.36.6+0.7

The games he missed this season

DateGameResult
Oct 10, 2026@Oregon StateL 14–66
Oct 3, 2026vsTexas StateW 31–29
Sep 19, 2026vsJames MadisonL 13–26

Method

  • With him is a game he played, from the schools’ participation lists, and a box score row where a game has no list; without him is a game the team played while he was on its roster and he didn’t.
  • Over expected is the team’s average a game over what the season’s ratings expected in each game, the same numbers each measure’s own page reads. “Averages” shows the plain numbers. A game with no expected number sits out.
  • Against the line is the team’s margin less the closing line’s, the market’s margin before kickoff, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game with no line sits out.
  • His teammates’ numbers are plain averages a game.
  • Why he’s out: si.com.

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