San Diego State’s yards a carry with Lucky Sutton and without Lucky Sutton
, ,
San Diego State averaged 4.53 yards a carry with Lucky Sutton and 3.84 without Lucky Sutton in 2026, 6 games against 3, a difference of 0.70.
Lucky Sutton, running back: 473 rushing yards, 103 carries and 1 reception in 6 games this season.
3 games without Lucky Sutton is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
yards a carry a game
with Lucky Sutton
4.53
without Lucky Sutton
3.84
24
A +0.70 difference in yards a carry with Lucky Sutton vs without Lucky Sutton is about what you’d expect.
The games
with Lucky Suttonwithout Lucky Sutton
| Side | Date | Game | Result | yards a carry | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vsPPortland State | W | 5.64 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ UCLA | L | 3.79 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs James Madison | L | 4.36 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Toledo | L | 1.55 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Texas State | W | 4.48 | — | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Oregon State | L | 2.67 | — | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Fresno State | W | 5.28 | — | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Colorado State | L | 5.30 | — | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Washington State | W | 5.64 | — |
Method
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 6 of these 9 games; in the other 3 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.