Nevada without Luke Duncan

without , this season

Nevada is 2–5 without Luke Duncan this season and 1–0 with him.

, a game

This season

Measure	With Luke Duncan1 game	Without7 games	Difference
Record	1–0	2–5
Points, over expected	+3.9	−0.6	+4.5
Passing yards, over expected	+5.3	−29.5	+34.9
Against the line	+9.5	+3.1	+6.4
Points allowed, over expected	−7.3	−0.3	−7.0
Margin, over expected	+10.5	−1.0	+11.4
Rushing yards, over expected	−68.8	+25.2	−94.0
Carries, over expected	−3.3	+2.4	−5.6
Yards a carry	3.13	4.73	−1.60
Pass attempts, over expected	+2.0	−3.1	+5.1
Total yards, over expected	−65.0	−0.5	−64.5
Third-down conversion rate, over expected	+12.0%	−2.7%	+14.7
Penalty yards, over expected	+0.2	−11.7	+11.9

One game with him is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

Measure	With Luke Duncan1 game	Without7 games	Difference
Record	1–0	2–5
Points, over expected	+3.9	−0.6	+4.5
Passing yards, over expected	+5.3	−29.5	+34.9
Against the line	+9.5	+3.1	+6.4
Points allowed, over expected	−7.3	−0.3	−7.0
Margin, over expected	+10.5	−1.0	+11.4
Rushing yards, over expected	−68.8	+25.2	−94.0
Carries, over expected	−3.3	+2.4	−5.6
Yards a carry	3.13	4.73	−1.60
Pass attempts, over expected	+2.0	−3.1	+5.1
Total yards, over expected	−65.0	−0.5	−64.5
Third-down conversion rate, over expected	+12.0%	−2.7%	+14.7
Penalty yards, over expected	+0.2	−11.7	+11.9

One game with him is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

Measure	With Luke Duncan	Without	Difference
Dominic Kelley, RB
Rushing yards	82.0	72.3	+9.7
Carries	24.0	13.4	+10.6
Herschel Turner, RB
Rushing yards	44.0	66.3	−22.3
Carries	8.0	10.6	−2.6
Damien Morgan, WR
Receiving yards	24.0	25.8	−1.8
Receptions	4.0	4.5	−0.5

Measure	With Luke Duncan	Without	Difference
Ky Woods, RB
Rushing yards	6.0	7.3	−1.3
Carries	3.0	1.7	+1.3

Date	Game	Result	Played instead
Oct 31, 2026	@UCLA · played, 8 of 24 pass attempts	L 0–27	AJ Bianco
Oct 17, 2026	@North Dakota State · played, 2 of 36 pass attempts	L 17–31	AJ Bianco
Oct 10, 2026	@UTEP	W 30–13	Carter Jones
Sep 26, 2026	vsAir Force	L 33–36	Carter Jones
Sep 19, 2026	@Middle Tennessee	L 20–27	Carter Jones
Sep 12, 2026	vsMontana State · played, 16 of 36 pass attempts	L 7–20	AJ Bianco
Sep 5, 2026	vsWestern Kentucky · played, 0 of 16 pass attempts	W 49–14	Carter Jones

With him is a game he played, from the schools’ participation lists, and a box score row where a game has no list; without him is a game the team played while he was on its roster and he didn’t.
With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.
Over expected is the team’s average a game over what the season’s ratings expected in each game, the same numbers each measure’s own page reads. “Averages” shows the plain numbers. A game with no expected number sits out.
Against the line is the team’s margin less the closing line’s, the market’s margin before kickoff, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game with no line sits out.
His teammates’ numbers are plain averages a game.