Putting Up Numbers· college football

Jacksonville State without Jalen Likely

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Jacksonville State is 1–1 without Jalen Likely this season and 5–1 with him. Since 2025, Jacksonville State is 4–4 in the 8 games he missed and 11–3 with him.

Missed games, per rotowire.com.

Jalen Likely’s page

, a game

This season

MeasureWith Jalen Likely6 gamesWithout2 gamesDifference
Record5–11–1
Points, over expected−1.0+2.3−3.4
Rushing yards, over expected+19.7+1.6+18.0
Against the line+3.8−0.3+4.1
Points allowed, over expected−6.9+7.1−14.0
Margin, over expected+5.1−5.8+10.8
Carries, over expected−1.8+3.8−5.6
Yards a carry5.194.57+0.63
Passing yards, over expected−10.7+26.2−36.9
Pass attempts, over expected+0.3−5.2+5.6
Total yards, over expected+6.2+26.4−20.2
Third-down conversion rate, over expected+2.3%+4.4%−2.1
Penalty yards, over expected−2.2+6.5−8.6

2 games without him is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

Last 25 games

MeasureWith Jalen Likely14 gamesWithout8 gamesDifference
Record11–34–4
Points, over expected+1.4−1.7+3.1
Rushing yards, over expected+18.7+16.6+2.0
Against the line+4.8−0.3+5.2
Points allowed, over expected−2.7+2.2−5.0
Margin, over expected+3.9−4.2+8.0
Carries, over expected−0.4+5.1−5.4
Yards a carry5.544.83+0.71
Passing yards, over expected−14.0−12.0−2.0
Pass attempts, over expected−1.0−3.3+2.2
Total yards, over expected+7.4+7.9−0.5
Third-down conversion rate, over expected+2.2%−2.1%+4.3
Penalty yards, over expected−4.4+6.7−11.1

Who played instead

His teammates without him

This season

MeasureWith Jalen LikelyWithoutDifference
Caden Creel, QB
Passing yards211.2239.5−28.3
Pass attempts27.223.0+4.2
Lucas Farrington, RB
Rushing yards34.619.0+15.6
Carries6.23.0+3.2
Khristian Lando, RB
Rushing yards12.29.5+2.7
Carries3.55.0−1.5
Jamill Williams, WR
Receiving yards35.028.5+6.5
Receptions2.84.5−1.7
Deondre Johnson, WR
Receiving yards47.576.5−29.0
Receptions2.54.0−1.5

Last 25 games

MeasureWith Jalen LikelyWithoutDifference
Michael Pettway, WR
Receiving yards4.310.5−6.3
Receptions0.81.3−0.5
Brock Rechsteiner, WR
Receiving yards35.433.3+2.0
Receptions3.04.0−1.0
Caden Creel, QB
Passing yards149.0146.8+2.3
Pass attempts20.017.5+2.5
Andrew Paul, RB
Rushing yards18.86.6+12.2
Carries4.02.0+2.0
Khristian Lando, RB
Rushing yards19.86.9+12.9
Carries4.83.1+1.6

The games he missed this season

DateGameResult
Oct 13, 2026vsFlorida InternationalW 27–24
Sep 12, 2026@OhioL 27–29

Method

  • With him is a game he played, from the schools’ participation lists, and a box score row where a game has no list; without him is a game the team played while he was on its roster and he didn’t.
  • Over expected is the team’s average a game over what the season’s ratings expected in each game, the same numbers each measure’s own page reads. “Averages” shows the plain numbers. A game with no expected number sits out.
  • Against the line is the team’s margin less the closing line’s, the market’s margin before kickoff, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game with no line sits out.
  • His teammates’ numbers are plain averages a game.
  • Why he’s out: rotowire.com.

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