Jacksonville State’s yards a carry with Jalen Likely and without Jalen Likely
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Jacksonville State averaged 5.54 yards a carry with Jalen Likely and 4.83 without Jalen Likely over its last 25 games, 14 games against 8, a difference of 0.71. All 3 opponents outside the major colleges were with Jalen Likely.
Jalen Likely, running back: 292 rushing yards, 51 carries and 11 receptions in 11 of those 25 games.
yards a carry a game
with Jalen Likely
5.54
without Jalen Likely
4.83
46
A +0.71 difference in yards a carry with Jalen Likely vs without Jalen Likely is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with Jalen Likely and it comes up 12 times in 100.
The games
with Jalen Likelywithout Jalen Likely
| Side | Date | Game | Result | yards a carry | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | @ Western Kentucky | L | 5.33 | — | |
| Dec 6, 2024 | vsWestern Kentucky | W | 6.89 | — | |
| Dec 20, 2024 | vs Ohio (neutral) | L | 2.09 | — | |
| Aug 28, 2025 | @ UCF | L | 4.23 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vs Liberty | W | 7.15 | — | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | @ Georgia Southern | L | 5.07 | — | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vsMMurray State | W | 7.59 | — | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | @ Southern Miss | L | 4.85 | — | |
| Oct 9, 2025 | vs Sam Houston (neutral) | W | 5.87 | — | |
| Oct 15, 2025 | vs Delaware | W | 5.24 | — | |
| Oct 29, 2025 | @ Middle Tennessee | W | 3.19 | — | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ UTEP | W | 7.29 | — | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Kennesaw State | W | 6.32 | — | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ Florida International | L | 5.46 | — | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vsWestern Kentucky | W | 6.10 | — | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | vsKennesaw State | L | 5.25 | — | |
| Dec 16, 2025 | vs Troy (neutral) | W | 2.33 | — | |
| Aug 29, 2026 | @NNorth Dakota State | L | 3.67 | — | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vsEEastern Kentucky | W | 5.61 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @Ohio | L | 3.73 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vsGeorgia Southern | W | 4.87 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsMiddle Tennessee | W | 7.34 | — | |
| Oct 7, 2026 | @Kennesaw State | W | 2.62 | — | |
| Oct 13, 2026 | vsFlorida International | W | 5.41 | — | |
| Oct 28, 2026 | @ New Mexico State | W | 7.04 | — |
Method
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- 3 games in 2024 are neither with Jalen Likely nor without Jalen Likely: Jalen Likely had no game for the team that season, and sit out.