Virginia @ 
Wake Forest
Wake Forest 51, Virginia 7Wake Forest was favored by 13, and Wake Forest covered.
| a game | Virginia1 game | Wake Forest1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −13.7 | +25.5 |
| Points allowed | +17.2 | −16.7 |
| Total offense, yards | 0 | +168 |
| Total defense, yards | +111 | −9 |
| Touchdowns | −1.3 | +3.0 |
| Passer rating | −1.9 | +36.5 |
| Third downs | −31.3% | +26.0% |
| Sacks | +0.4 | −1.0 |
| Penalty yards | −13.6 | −10.8 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.3 | −0.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −0.1 | −1.1 |
Who put up numbers
Wake Forest
- Passing yardsGio Lopez229 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsGio Lopez1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsJamar Searcy78 rushing yards
Virginia
Analysis
Wake Forest
- Wake Forest had covered 5 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 6.
- Wake Forest had beaten 6 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 7.
- Wake Forest had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- Wake Forest had won 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- Wake Forest was 14.1 points a game over the closing line this season, 2nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+31.0 against the line this game.
Virginia
- Virginia was 2.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 100th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−31.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Virginia leads the series 34–19 since 1911. Wake Forest has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Wake Forest had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Wake Forest was 3–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
- At home, Wake Forest’s penalty yards were 36.1 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 16.3 under expected.
- Against an unranked opponent, Wake Forest’s third-down conversion rate were 11.9% over expected in 5 games. A +29.1% difference in third-down conversion rate over expected vs an unranked opponent and vs a ranked opponent is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were vs an unranked opponent and it comes up 5 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 25.1% over expected.
- In a conference game, Wake Forest’s points allowed were 6.9 under expected in 5 games. A −17.3 difference in points allowed over expected in a conference game vs in a nonconference game is unusual: shuffle which games were in a conference game and it comes up 4 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 8.8 under expected.
- On the road, Virginia’s total yards were 118.9 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 49.8 over expected.
- In a conference game, Virginia’s pass attempts were 8.0 under expected in 5 games. A −17.6 difference in pass attempts over expected in a conference game vs in a nonconference game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were in a conference game and it comes up 10 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 14.8 over expected.
- Against a ranked opponent, Virginia’s carries were 5.9 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 21.0 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | at Wake Forest | Wake Forest 51, Virginia 7 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | at Virginia | Wake Forest 16, Virginia 9 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | at Wake Forest | Virginia 31, Wake Forest 30 |
| Sep 24, 2021 | at Virginia | Wake Forest 37, Virginia 17 |
| Oct 17, 2020 | at Wake Forest | Wake Forest 40, Virginia 23 |
| Nov 5, 2016 | at Wake Forest | Wake Forest 27, Virginia 20 |
| Oct 20, 2012 | at Virginia | Wake Forest 16, Virginia 10 |
| Nov 8, 2008 | at Wake Forest | Wake Forest 28, Virginia 17 |
| Nov 3, 2007 | at Virginia | Virginia 17, Wake Forest 16 |
| Sep 27, 2003 | at Virginia | Virginia 27, Wake Forest 24 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.