UConn @ 
Air Force
Air Force 35, UConn 26Air Force was favored by 0.5, and Air Force covered.
| a game | UConn1 game | Air Force1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +4.3 | +6.6 |
| Points allowed | +6.9 | −2.3 |
| Total offense, yards | +40 | −52 |
| Total defense, yards | −33 | −31 |
| Touchdowns | +1.5 | +1.5 |
| Passer rating | +6.4 | −146.7 |
| Third downs | +3.0% | +3.4% |
| Sacks | −0.3 | 0.0 |
| Penalty yards | −6.0 | −21.5 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.2 | −1.2 |
Who put up numbers
Air Force
- Rushing yardsKemper Hodges200 rushing yards
- Rushing touchdownsKemper Hodges4 rushing touchdowns
- Touchdowns responsible forKemper Hodges4 touchdowns responsible for
UConn
Analysis
Air Force
- Air Force was 0.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 67th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+8.5 against the line this game.
UConn
- UConn was 9.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 6th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−8.5 against the line this game.
The series
- The series is tied 1–1 since 2025.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Air Force was 3–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
- At home, Air Force’s penalty yards were 26.6 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 15.7 under expected.
- UConn was 2–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- On the road, UConn’s pass attempts were 5.1 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.8 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | at Air Force | Air Force 35, UConn 26 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | at UConn | UConn 26, Air Force 16 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.