UConn
4–4 · Jason Candle, 1st season
Lost to Air Force 35–26, Oct 31 · Next: vs North Carolina, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters
Against the closing line
UConn has beaten the line in 3 of its last 4, by 5.3 points a game. Over the season it’s 7.6 a game over, 10th of 136.
Of the 7 teams at 4–4 against a schedule this hard, UConn’s +7.6 is 1st.
last 4
+5.3
before
+10.0
020
Oct 3, 2026 vs Syracuse +5.5
Oct 10, 2026 @ Temple +17.5
Oct 23, 2026 vs UMass +6.5
Oct 31, 2026 @ Air Force −8.5
Lately
- Won 8 of its last 10 at homecount
- C Aug 30, 2025 vs Central Connecticut +46
Sep 20, 2025 vs Ball State +6
Oct 4, 2025 vs Florida International +41
Nov 1, 2025 vs UAB +19
Nov 8, 2025 vs Duke +3- Nov 15, 2025 vs Air Force +10
Sep 5 vs Lafayette +49
Sep 12 vs Maryland −24- Oct 3 vs Syracuse −1
- Oct 23 vs UMass +19
- Covered 7 of its last 10 at homecount
Nov 1, 2024 vs Georgia State 0- Sep 20, 2025 vs Ball State −15
- Oct 4, 2025 vs Florida International +34
- Nov 1, 2025 vs UAB +8.5
- Nov 8, 2025 vs Duke +10.5
- Nov 15, 2025 vs Air Force +2.5
- Sep 5 vs Lafayette +28.5
- Sep 12 vs Maryland −12.5
- Oct 3 vs Syracuse +5.5
- Oct 23 vs UMass +6.5
- Covered 5 of its last 10count
Nov 22, 2025 @ Florida Atlantic −3
Dec 27, 2025 vs Army −17.5- Sep 5 vs Lafayette +28.5
- Sep 12 vs Maryland −12.5
Sep 19 @ Southern Miss +24.5
Sep 26 @ Miami (OH) −0.5- Oct 3 vs Syracuse +5.5
- Oct 10 @ Temple +17.5
- Oct 23 vs UMass +6.5
- Oct 31 @ Air Force −8.5
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +4.4 · 38th | +2.3 · 91st |
| Total yards | +26 · 45th | +48 · 111th |
| Touchdowns | +0.7 · 36th | +0.6 · 104th |
| Passing efficiency | +15.2 · 30th | +5.1 · 85th |
| 3rd downs | −1.9% · 83rd | +2.6% · 95th |
| Turnovers | −0.5 · 19th | −0.2 · 96th |
| Sacks | +1.6 · 132nd | −0.2 · 87th |
| Penalty yards | +21.0 · 129th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.
Seasons
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- A schedule this hard means the mean rating of the opponents it’s played is within 5.2 points of the team’s, two thirds of a standard deviation of the league’s schedules, and a rating is what the season’s games say about a team’s margin against an average team. The teams beside it have its record.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.