Stanford @ 
Louisville
Louisville 52, Stanford 24Louisville was favored by 22.5, and Louisville covered.
| a game | Stanford1 game | Louisville1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −2.2 | +15.7 |
| Points allowed | +17.4 | +5.5 |
| Total offense, yards | −56 | +100 |
| Total defense, yards | +89 | +13 |
| Touchdowns | −0.1 | +1.3 |
| Passer rating | +4.5 | +18.8 |
| Third downs | −24.1% | +9.1% |
| Sacks | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Penalty yards | −3.9 | −17.4 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | +0.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.7 | −1.2 |
Who put up numbers
Louisville
- Passing yardsLincoln Kienholz250 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsLincoln Kienholz2 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsIsaac Brown139 rushing yards
Stanford
Analysis
Louisville
- Louisville was 1.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 57th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+5.5 against the line this game.
Stanford
- Stanford was 8.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 130th of 136, and 16.5 worse away than at home over its last 25, 136th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−5.5 against the line this game.
The series
- The series is tied 1–1 since 2024.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Louisville was 3–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
- At home, Louisville’s rushing yards were 66.3 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 66.8 over expected.
- Against an unranked opponent, Louisville’s third-down conversion rate were 5.5% over expected in 4 games. A +8.7% difference in third-down conversion rate over expected vs an unranked opponent and vs a ranked opponent is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were vs an unranked opponent and it comes up 15 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 7.6% over expected.
- Stanford was 2–4 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- On the road, Stanford’s passing yards were 79.2 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 34.1 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | at Louisville | Louisville 52, Stanford 24 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | at Stanford | Stanford 38, Louisville 35 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.