Stanford @ Virginia Tech

Sat, Nov 14 · Lane Stadium

No line yet.

Stanford at Virginia Tech: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Stanford9 games	Virginia Tech8 games
	−6.0	+1.8
	+11.8	−0.4
	−26	+20
	+77	−11
	−0.8	+0.1
	−8.0	+20.8
	−9.4%	+0.8%
	−1.1	+0.6
	+0.2	−2.4
	−0.4	−0.6
	−0.4	−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech’s third-down conversion rate are 20.2% lower vs a ranked opponent than vs an unranked opponent against expected over its last 25 games, 77th of 77 teams.fact · rankedthe split →
Virginia Tech is 1.1 points a game over the closing line this season, 61st of 136.fact · rankedits form →

Stanford

Stanford is 7.7 points a game under the closing line this season, 132nd of 136, and 16.9 worse away than at home over its last 25, 136th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

The series

The series is tied 1–1 since 2010.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

Virginia Tech has beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →
Without Ayden Greene, Virginia Tech’s rushing yards are 122.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
At home, Virginia Tech’s passing yards are 73.3 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
In a conference game, Virginia Tech’s third-down conversion rate are 7.3% under expected in 5 games. A −25.6% difference in third-down conversion rate over expected in a conference game vs in a nonconference game is unusual: shuffle which games were in a conference game and it comes up 4 times in 100.thinthe split →
Without Caden High, Stanford’s passing yards are 84.5 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
After a bye, Stanford’s carries are 11.8 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
On the road, Stanford’s points allowed are 11.7 over expected in 4 games. A +13.3 difference in points allowed over expected away vs at home is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were away and it comes up 11 times in 100.thinthe split →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Oct 5, 2024	at Stanford	Virginia Tech 31, Stanford 7
Jan 3, 2011	neutral	Stanford 40, Virginia Tech 12

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.