Louisville
5–3 · 4–2 ACC · Jeff Brohm, 4th season
Beat Stanford 52–24, Oct 31 · Next: at Georgia Tech, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters
- The 2nd-most rushing touchdowns of 136 teams this season, 29 (3.6 a game).
- The 8th-most rushing yards of 136 teams this season, 1,889 (236.1 a game).
Against the closing line
Louisville has beaten the line in 2 of its last 4, by 2.9 points a game. Over the season it’s 1.9 a game over, 50th of 136.
Of the 11 teams at 5–3 against a schedule this hard, Louisville’s +1.9 is 4th.
last 4
+2.9
before
+0.9
-1001020
Oct 3, 2026 @ NC State −7.5
Oct 9, 2026 vs Florida State +20.0
Oct 17, 2026 @ Syracuse −6.5
Oct 31, 2026 vs Stanford +5.5
Lately
- Won 7 of its last 10count
Nov 29, 2025 vs Kentucky +41
Dec 23, 2025 vs Toledo +5
Sep 6 vs Ole Miss −3
Sep 11 vs Villanova +46
Sep 19 vs SMU +10
Sep 26 vs Wake Forest −3- Oct 3 @ NC State −3
- Oct 9 vs Florida State +24
- Oct 17 @ Syracuse +8
- Oct 31 vs Stanford +28
- Won 7 of its last 10 on the roadcount
Oct 25, 2024 @ Boston College +4
Nov 2, 2024 @ Clemson +12- Nov 16, 2024 @ Stanford −3
- Nov 30, 2024 @ Kentucky +27
Sep 27, 2025 @ Pittsburgh +7
Oct 17, 2025 @ Miami (FL) +3
Nov 1, 2025 @ Virginia Tech +12- Nov 22, 2025 @ SMU −32
- Oct 3 @ NC State −3
- Oct 17 @ Syracuse +8
- Covered 6 of its last 10count
- Nov 29, 2025 vs Kentucky +42.5
- Dec 23, 2025 vs Toledo −6.5
- Sep 6 vs Ole Miss +3.5
- Sep 11 vs Villanova +7
- Sep 19 vs SMU +7
- Sep 26 vs Wake Forest −14
- Oct 3 @ NC State −7.5
- Oct 9 vs Florida State +20
- Oct 17 @ Syracuse −6.5
- Oct 31 vs Stanford +5.5
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +10.6 · 11th | +0.9 · 76th |
| Total yards | +99 · 10th | +45 · 110th |
| Touchdowns | +1.6 · 8th | 0.0 · 73rd |
| Passing efficiency | +20.1 · 23rd | +1.5 · 75th |
| 3rd downs | +5.2% · 30th | −9.4% · 12th |
| Turnovers | −0.3 · 31st | +0.6 · 13th |
| Sacks | 0.0 · 67th | +0.7 · 18th |
| Penalty yards | +15.5 · 121st |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.
Seasons
- 2026 5–3
- 2025 9–4
- 2024 9–4
- 2023 10–4
- 2022 8–5
- 2021 6–7
- 2020 4–7
- 2019 8–5
- 2018 2–10
- 2017 8–5
- 2016 9–4
- 2015 8–5
- 2014 9–4
- 2013 12–1
- 2012 11–2
- 2011 7–6
- 2010 7–6
- 2009 4–8
- 2008 5–7
- 2007 6–6
- 2006 12–1
- 2005 9–3
- 2004 11–1
- 2003 9–4
- 2002 7–6
- 2001 11–2
- 2000 9–3
- 1999 7–5
- 1998 7–5
- 1997 1–10
- 1996 5–6
- 1995 7–4
- 1994 6–5
- 1993 9–3
- 1992 5–6
- 1991 2–9
- 1990 10–1–1
- 1989 6–5
- 1988 8–3
- 1987 3–7–1
- 1986 3–8
- 1985 2–9
- 1984 2–9
- 1983 3–8
- 1982 5–6
- 1981 5–6
- 1980 5–6
- 1979 4–6–1
- 1978 7–4
- 1977 7–4–1
- 1976 5–6
- 1975 2–9
- 1974 4–7
- 1973 5–6
- 1972 9–1
- 1971 6–3–1
- 1970 8–3–1
- 1969 5–4–1
- 1968 5–5
- 1967 5–5
- 1966 6–4
- 1965 6–4
- 1964 1–9
- 1963 3–7
- 1962 6–4
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- A schedule this hard means the mean rating of the opponents it’s played is within 5.2 points of the team’s, two thirds of a standard deviation of the league’s schedules, and a rating is what the season’s games say about a team’s margin against an average team. The teams beside it have its record.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.