Putting Up Numbers· college football

Southern Miss @ Louisiana Monroe

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Southern Miss 35, Louisiana Monroe 21Southern Miss was favored by 3.5, and Southern Miss covered.

Southern Miss at Louisiana Monroe: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSouthern Miss1 gameLouisiana Monroe1 game
Points+2.1−13.2
Points allowed−1.9+12.9
Total offense, yards−38−94
Total defense, yards+11+13
Touchdowns+0.4−1.0
Passer rating−45.2−18.2
Third downs−12.5%+2.3%
Sacks+3.4−1.3
Penalty yards+31.7−12.8
Turnovers forced+0.8−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.2+0.9

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Louisiana Monroe

Southern Miss

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Louisiana Monroe

  • Louisiana Monroe was 5.6 points a game under the closing line this season, 119th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−10.5 against the line this game.

Southern Miss

  • Southern Miss was 1.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 49th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+10.5 against the line this game.

The series

  • Southern Miss leads the series 8–3 since 1982. Southern Miss has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Louisiana Monroe had lost 9 of its last 10.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • Louisiana Monroe was 2–4 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
  • At home, Louisiana Monroe’s points were 16.1 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.6 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Louisiana Monroe’s carries were 4.8 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.0 over expected.
  • Southern Miss had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Southern Miss had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • On the road, Southern Miss’ passing yards were 59.9 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 110.2 under expected.
  • In a conference game, Southern Miss’ penalty yards were 16.9 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 31.8 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at Louisiana MonroeSouthern Miss 35, Louisiana Monroe 21
Oct 25, 2025at Southern MissSouthern Miss 49, Louisiana Monroe 21
Oct 12, 2024at Louisiana MonroeLouisiana Monroe 38, Southern Miss 21
Nov 4, 2023at Southern MissSouthern Miss 24, Louisiana Monroe 7
Nov 26, 2022at Louisiana MonroeSouthern Miss 20, Louisiana Monroe 10
Sep 8, 2018at Southern MissLouisiana Monroe 21, Southern Miss 20
Sep 16, 2017at Louisiana MonroeSouthern Miss 28, Louisiana Monroe 17
Sep 18, 1993at Southern MissSouthern Miss 44, Louisiana Monroe 37
Nov 7, 1987at Southern MissLouisiana Monroe 34, Southern Miss 24
Sep 6, 1986at Southern MissSouthern Miss 28, Louisiana Monroe 19

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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