SMU @ 
Syracuse
Syracuse 30, SMU 27SMU was favored by 9, and Syracuse covered.
| a game | SMU1 game | Syracuse1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +1.6 | +3.5 |
| Points allowed | −0.1 | −1.9 |
| Total offense, yards | +62 | −18 |
| Total defense, yards | −92 | +7 |
| Touchdowns | −0.3 | −0.1 |
| Passer rating | +50.7 | −15.4 |
| Third downs | +8.1% | −11.3% |
| Sacks | −1.1 | +2.3 |
| Penalty yards | +31.3 | −9.5 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | +0.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.8 | −1.1 |
Who put up numbers
Syracuse
- Passing yardsSteve Angeli200 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsSteve Angeli1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsAhmad Miller56 rushing yards
SMU
Analysis
Syracuse
- Syracuse’s rushing yards were 80.0 lower at home than away against expected over its last 25 games, 136th of 136 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 15.7 under expected.
- Syracuse was 5.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 22nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →+12.0 against the line this game.
SMU
- SMU had beaten 6 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- SMU had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- SMU had won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
- SMU was 0.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 82nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →−12.0 against the line this game.
The series
- SMU leads the series 2–1 since 1932.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Syracuse had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Syracuse was 3–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
- At home, Syracuse’s pass attempts were 15.7 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.3 under expected.
- SMU was 2–2–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- On the road, SMU’s total yards were 112.9 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 22.7 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | at Syracuse | Syracuse 30, SMU 27 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | at SMU | SMU 31, Syracuse 18 |
| Oct 15, 1932 | at Syracuse | SMU 16, Syracuse 6 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.