Putting Up Numbers· college football

Clemson @ Syracuse

Sat, Nov 7 · JMA Wireless Dome

The line has it Clemson 26, Syracuse 24.Clemson −2.5, total 50, as of Nov 3. A line moves until kickoff. The median of the books College Football Data lists, through Streak King.

Clemson at Syracuse: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameClemson8 gamesSyracuse8 games
−4.4+0.4
−3.9+1.9
−55+49
−35−19
−1.40.0
−24.2−5.7
−11.9%−1.6%
+0.8+0.1
+7.4+22.5
+0.2−0.2
+0.1+0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Syracuse

  • Syracuse’s rushing yards are 83.1 lower at home than away against expected over its last 25 games, 136th of 136 teams.fact · rankedthe split →
  • Syracuse has covered 4 straight.streakthe runs →
  • Syracuse is 6.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 17th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

Clemson

  • Clemson is 3.4 points a game under the closing line this season, 108th of 136, and 12.8 better away than at home over its last 25, 2nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →

The series

  • Clemson leads the series 10–3 since 1995. Clemson has won 3 straight at Syracuse.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Syracuse is 4–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →
  • Without Ju'Juan Johnson, Syracuse’s third-down conversion rate are 20.2% over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Without Tylik Hill, Syracuse’s passing yards are 87.2 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Without Steve Angeli, Syracuse’s passing yards are 55.6 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • Clemson has beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →
  • Clemson has won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →
  • Clemson is 2–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
  • On the road, Clemson’s passing yards are 54.3 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Against an unranked opponent, Clemson’s points allowed are 6.7 under expected in 5 games. A −21.7 difference in points allowed over expected vs an unranked opponent and vs a ranked opponent is unusual: shuffle which games were vs an unranked opponent and it comes up 5 times in 100.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 20, 2025at ClemsonSyracuse 34, Clemson 21
Sep 30, 2023at SyracuseClemson 31, Syracuse 14
Oct 22, 2022at ClemsonClemson 27, Syracuse 21
Oct 15, 2021at SyracuseClemson 17, Syracuse 14
Oct 24, 2020at ClemsonClemson 47, Syracuse 21
Sep 14, 2019at SyracuseClemson 41, Syracuse 6
Sep 29, 2018at ClemsonClemson 27, Syracuse 23
Oct 13, 2017at SyracuseSyracuse 27, Clemson 24
Nov 5, 2016at ClemsonClemson 54, Syracuse 0
Nov 14, 2015at SyracuseClemson 37, Syracuse 27

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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