Oregon State @ 
Fresno State
Fresno State 38, Oregon State 22Oregon State was favored by 6, and Fresno State covered.
| a game | Oregon State1 game | Fresno State1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +0.3 | +10.1 |
| Points allowed | +10.5 | −10.8 |
| Total offense, yards | +70 | +25 |
| Total defense, yards | +32 | +2 |
| Touchdowns | −0.5 | +1.6 |
| Passer rating | −21.3 | +57.1 |
| Third downs | −3.1% | +5.2% |
| Sacks | −2.2 | +3.1 |
| Penalty yards | −24.3 | −39.8 |
| Turnovers forced | −0.3 | +0.7 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.7 | −0.2 |
Who put up numbers
Fresno State
- Passing yardsJayden Mandal202 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsJayden Mandal2 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsBryson Donelson108 rushing yards
Oregon State
Analysis
Fresno State
- Fresno State was 5.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 20th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+22.0 against the line this game.
Oregon State
- Oregon State’s carries were 10.4 higher at home than away against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 136 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 3.3 under expected.
- Oregon State had won 5 straight by 10 or more.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Oregon State had beaten 5 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Oregon State had won 5 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Oregon State was 16.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 1st of 136.fact · rankedits form →−22.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Fresno State leads the series 10–6 since 1981. Fresno State has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Fresno State had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- Fresno State had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Fresno State had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- At home, Fresno State’s carries were 8.0 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.3 over expected.
- In a conference game, Fresno State’s rushing yards were 35.0 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 63.0 over expected.
- Oregon State was 4–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- At night, Oregon State’s penalty yards were 69.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 28.7 under expected.
- In a conference game, Oregon State’s points were 21.1 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.5 under expected.
- Against an unranked opponent, Oregon State’s third-down conversion rate were 17.6% over expected in 4 games. A +32.8% difference in third-down conversion rate over expected vs an unranked opponent and vs a ranked opponent is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were vs an unranked opponent and it comes up 13 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 6.0% under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | at Fresno State | Fresno State 38, Oregon State 22 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | at Oregon State | Fresno State 36, Oregon State 27 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | at Fresno State | Oregon State 35, Fresno State 32 |
| Sep 5, 2003 | at Fresno State | Fresno State 16, Oregon State 14 |
| Sep 21, 2002 | at Oregon State | Oregon State 59, Fresno State 19 |
| Sep 2, 2001 | at Fresno State | Fresno State 44, Oregon State 24 |
| Sep 11, 1999 | at Oregon State | Oregon State 46, Fresno State 23 |
| Sep 17, 1994 | at Fresno State | Fresno State 24, Oregon State 14 |
| Sep 11, 1993 | at Fresno State | Fresno State 48, Oregon State 30 |
| Sep 12, 1992 | at Oregon State | Oregon State 46, Fresno State 36 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.