Northern Illinois @ 
UNLV
UNLV 31, Northern Illinois 24UNLV was favored by 21.5, and Northern Illinois covered.
| a game | Northern Illinois1 game | UNLV1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +0.3 | −7.4 |
| Points allowed | +5.6 | +8.5 |
| Total offense, yards | +119 | +36 |
| Total defense, yards | +98 | +192 |
| Touchdowns | +0.2 | −0.5 |
| Passer rating | −7.1 | +22.0 |
| Third downs | +14.6% | −2.8% |
| Sacks | −1.2 | −1.8 |
| Penalty yards | −8.9 | +21.3 |
| Turnovers forced | +0.8 | −0.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −0.2 | +0.9 |
Who put up numbers
UNLV
- Passing yardsJackson Arnold269 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsJackson Arnold3 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsJai'Den Thomas114 rushing yards
Northern Illinois
Analysis
UNLV
- UNLV was 2.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 104th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−14.5 against the line this game.
Northern Illinois
- Northern Illinois had lost 9 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 10.
- Northern Illinois had failed to cover 4 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Northern Illinois was 9.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 135th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+14.5 against the line this game.
The series
- Northern Illinois leads the series 5–1 since 1987.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- UNLV had won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- UNLV was 3–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- In a conference game, UNLV’s third-down conversion rate were 20.2% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.8% under expected.
- At night, UNLV’s third-down conversion rate were 18.6% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.8% under expected.
- After a bye, UNLV’s points of margin were 21.2 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 11.6 under expected.
- Northern Illinois was 1–6 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Covered.
- At night, Northern Illinois’ penalty yards were 28.7 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.0 under expected.
- In a conference game, Northern Illinois’ points allowed were 13.1 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.2 under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | at UNLV | UNLV 31, Northern Illinois 24 |
| Sep 5, 2015 | at Northern Illinois | Northern Illinois 38, UNLV 30 |
| Sep 13, 2014 | at UNLV | Northern Illinois 48, UNLV 34 |
| Oct 7, 1995 | at Northern Illinois | Northern Illinois 62, UNLV 14 |
| Oct 21, 1989 | at Northern Illinois | Northern Illinois 42, UNLV 24 |
| Nov 28, 1987 | at UNLV | Northern Illinois 34, UNLV 31 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.