Wyoming @ UNLV

Sat, Nov 7 · Allegiant Stadium

The line has it UNLV 27, Wyoming 21.UNLV −6, total 48.5, as of Nov 3. A line moves until kickoff. The median of the books College Football Data lists, through Streak King.

Wyoming at UNLV: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Wyoming8 games	UNLV8 games
	−7.7	−2.8
	−3.1	+0.8
	−42	+12
	+13	+22
	−1.1	−0.2
	−12.5	+2.3
	−8.0%	+4.5%
	+0.4	+0.2
	−15.2	+6.8
	−0.6	−0.2
	+0.1	+0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

UNLV

UNLV is 4.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 113th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

Wyoming

Wyoming has won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →
Wyoming is 0.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 76th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

The series

Wyoming leads the series 14–13 since 1978. UNLV has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

UNLV has won 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →
UNLV is 3–3 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
Without Taeshaun Lyons, UNLV’s points are 14.2 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Without Kayden McGee, UNLV’s points of margin are 21.1 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
In a conference game, UNLV’s third-down conversion rate are 12.0% over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
Wyoming is 3–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →
Without Samuel Harris, Wyoming’s rushing yards are 132.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
On the road, Wyoming’s third-down conversion rate are 17.0% under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
At night, Wyoming’s passing yards are 78.2 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Oct 4, 2025	at Wyoming	UNLV 31, Wyoming 17
Nov 10, 2023	at UNLV	UNLV 34, Wyoming 14
Nov 27, 2020	at UNLV	Wyoming 45, UNLV 14
Sep 28, 2019	at Wyoming	Wyoming 53, UNLV 17
Nov 12, 2016	at UNLV	UNLV 69, Wyoming 66
Nov 28, 2015	at Wyoming	Wyoming 35, UNLV 28
Nov 17, 2012	at UNLV	Wyoming 28, UNLV 23
Oct 15, 2011	at Wyoming	Wyoming 41, UNLV 14
Nov 13, 2010	at UNLV	UNLV 42, Wyoming 16
Sep 26, 2009	at Wyoming	Wyoming 30, UNLV 27

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.