UNLV
5–3 · 3–1 Mountain West · Dan Mullen, 2nd season
Beat Northern Illinois 31–24, Oct 31 · Next: vs Wyoming, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters
Against the closing line
UNLV has beaten the line in 2 of its last 4, 2.3 points a game under it. Over the season it’s 4.3 a game under, 113th of 136.
Of the 7 teams at 5–3 against a schedule this hard, UNLV’s −4.3 is 6th.
last 4
−2.3
before
−6.3
-40-200
Oct 3, 2026 vs California +6.5- N Oct 10, 2026 vs North Dakota State +9.0
Oct 17, 2026 @ Air Force −10.0
Oct 31, 2026 vs Northern Illinois −14.5
Lately
- Won 8 of its last 10 at homecount
Aug 23, 2025 vs Idaho State +7
Sep 6, 2025 vs UCLA +7- Oct 11, 2025 vs Air Force +3
Nov 1, 2025 vs New Mexico −5
Nov 15, 2025 vs Utah State +3
Nov 21, 2025 vs Hawaii +28
Aug 29 vs Memphis −6- Oct 3 vs California +8
- N Oct 10 vs North Dakota State +6
- Oct 31 vs Northern Illinois +7
- Failed to cover 6 of its last 10count
Dec 5, 2025 @ Boise State −11
Dec 23, 2025 vs Ohio −13.5- Aug 29 vs Memphis −10.5
- Sep 5 @ Hawaii +12
Sep 12 @ North Texas −41
Sep 26 @ Akron +14.5- Oct 3 vs California +6.5
- N Oct 10 vs North Dakota State +9
- Oct 17 @ Air Force −10
- Oct 31 vs Northern Illinois −14.5
- Won 6 of its last 10 on the roadcount
Sep 20, 2025 @ Miami (OH) +3
Oct 4, 2025 @ Wyoming +14- Oct 18, 2025 @ Boise State −25
Nov 8, 2025 @ Colorado State +32
Nov 29, 2025 @ Nevada +25- Dec 5, 2025 @ Boise State −17
- Sep 5 @ Hawaii +15
- Sep 12 @ North Texas −38
- Sep 26 @ Akron +28
- Oct 17 @ Air Force −10
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −2.8 · 84th | +0.8 · 74th |
| Total yards | +12 · 53rd | +22 · 85th |
| Touchdowns | −0.2 · 75th | 0.0 · 71st |
| Passing efficiency | +2.3 · 58th | −13.3 · 30th |
| 3rd downs | +4.5% · 38th | +1.7% · 83rd |
| Turnovers | +0.2 · 95th | −0.2 · 85th |
| Sacks | +0.5 · 105th | +0.2 · 56th |
| Penalty yards | +10.2 · 105th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.
Seasons
- 2026 5–3
- 2025 10–4
- 2024 11–3
- 2023 9–5
- 2022 5–7
- 2021 2–10
- 2020 0–6
- 2019 4–8
- 2018 4–8
- 2017 5–7
- 2016 4–8
- 2015 3–9
- 2014 2–11
- 2013 7–6
- 2012 2–11
- 2011 2–10
- 2010 2–11
- 2009 5–7
- 2008 5–7
- 2007 2–10
- 2006 2–10
- 2005 2–9
- 2004 2–9
- 2003 6–6
- 2002 5–7
- 2001 4–7
- 2000 8–5
- 1999 3–8
- 1998 0–11
- 1997 3–8
- 1996 1–11
- 1995 2–9
- 1994 7–5
- 1993 3–7
- 1992 4–5
- 1991 4–7
- 1990 4–7
- 1989 4–7
- 1988 4–7
- 1987 5–6
- 1986 6–5
- 1985 5–5–1
- 1984 11–2
- 1983 7–4
- 1982 3–8
- 1981 6–6
- 1980 7–4
- 1979 9–1–2
- 1978 7–4
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- A schedule this hard means the mean rating of the opponents it’s played is within 5.2 points of the team’s, two thirds of a standard deviation of the league’s schedules, and a rating is what the season’s games say about a team’s margin against an average team. The teams beside it have its record.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.